OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-31
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Shrewsbury 2.00 15:00 1.00 Gillingham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.5%50%+1.8%
DCHome or draw 77.5%79%-1.6%
DNBHome (DNB) 68.0%69%-0.8%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.0%50%+7.0%
BTTSBTTS yes 55.8%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.3%29.4%33.3%
xgboost56.4%21.3%22.3%
logistic57.2%26.1%16.8%
Inputs the models saw
ShrewsburyGillingham
Elo (pre-match)14021385
Surface Elo14021385
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.00
Form trend0.100.40
Season points per game1.711.14
Season goals for / game1.711.43
Season goals against / game1.431.71
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 6 D
Shrewsbury: last 5
27 OctHEverton2 - 1W
24 OctARotherham3 - 3D
24 OctARotherham3 - 3D
20 OctACrawley Town3 - 2W
20 OctACrawley Town3 - 2W
Gillingham: last 5
24 OctHGrimsby1 - 4L
24 OctHGrimsby1 - 4L
20 OctHPort Vale1 - 1D
20 OctHPort Vale1 - 1D
17 OctAAccrington1 - 3L
Head to head
02 May 2026Gillingham1 - 0Shrewsbury
29 Nov 2025Shrewsbury3 - 3Gillingham
25 Jan 2022Gillingham0 - 0Shrewsbury
28 Aug 2021Shrewsbury2 - 1Gillingham
10 Apr 2021Gillingham0 - 0Shrewsbury
03 Oct 2020Shrewsbury1 - 1Gillingham
29 Jan 2020Gillingham2 - 0Shrewsbury
22 Oct 2019Shrewsbury1 - 1Gillingham
13 Apr 2019Gillingham0 - 2Shrewsbury
29 Sep 2018Shrewsbury2 - 2Gillingham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.8026.3%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%30 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7557.1%30 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 13:57 UTC