| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 58% | +2.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.5% | 45.4% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Luka Pavlovic | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1587 | 1535 |
| Surface Elo | 1587 | 1535 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Aleksandr Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Aleksandr Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Ilia Simakin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |