| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.4% | 62% | -19.4% | |
| DC | Home or away | 76.4% | 76% | +0.1% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.4% | 76% | -21.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 selected | 62.5% | 55% | +7.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 29.1% | 22.5% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 29.8% | 22.5% | 47.8% |
| Sassuolo | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1702 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1702 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 06 Sep | A | Bologna | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Torino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Atalanta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | A | Parma | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 May | H | Lecce | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Parma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Frosinone | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Torino | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 May | H | Fiorentina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Juventus | 1 - 1 | Sassuolo |
| 06 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 0 - 3 | Juventus |
| 16 Jan 2024 | Juventus | 3 - 0 | Sassuolo |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Sassuolo | 4 - 2 | Juventus |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Sassuolo | 1 - 0 | Juventus |
| 15 Aug 2022 | Juventus | 3 - 0 | Sassuolo |
| 25 Apr 2022 | Sassuolo | 1 - 2 | Juventus |
| 27 Oct 2021 | Juventus | 1 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| 12 May 2021 | Sassuolo | 1 - 3 | Juventus |
| 10 Jan 2021 | Juventus | 3 - 1 | Sassuolo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.25 | 19.1% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 13 Sep 19:39 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.03 | 49.3% | 13 Sep 19:39 |