| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.1% | 83% | -10.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 83.4% | 16.6% |
| logistic | 69.8% | 30.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Jakub Filip | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1566 | 1403 |
| Surface Elo | 1566 | 1403 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Jeremy Gschwendtner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Viktor Kirov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Jordan Hasson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Amit Vales | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Julio Cesar Porras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Alexandre Aubriot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Belozertsev, Nikita | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Nicholas Campbell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nikita Mashtakov | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |