| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 37.9% | 42% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.1% | 36.6% |
| xgboost | 33.7% | 64.8% |
| logistic | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| New York Rangers | New York Islanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1481 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1481 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.75 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 2 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Boston Bruins | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 6 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Montréal Canadiens | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | Ottawa Senators | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | New York Rangers | 1 - 2 | New York Islanders |
| 29 Jan 2026 | New York Islanders | 5 - 2 | New York Rangers |
| 27 Dec 2025 | New York Islanders | 2 - 0 | New York Rangers |
| 09 Nov 2025 | New York Rangers | 0 - 5 | New York Islanders |
| 10 Apr 2025 | New York Islanders | 2 - 9 | New York Rangers |
| 04 Mar 2025 | New York Rangers | 4 - 0 | New York Islanders |
| 26 Feb 2025 | New York Islanders | 1 - 5 | New York Rangers |
| 03 Nov 2024 | New York Rangers | 5 - 2 | New York Islanders |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 06 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.36 | 42.4% | 06 Oct 21:20 |