| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.7% | 55% | -0.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.8% | 45.8% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 48.3% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Calgary Flames | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1439 | 1411 |
| Surface Elo | 1439 | 1411 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.11 | 2.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.22 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 2 - 4 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 4 - 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 5 | L |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 5 - 2 | Calgary Flames |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Calgary Flames | 3 - 4 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Calgary Flames | 1 - 3 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 28 Nov 2024 | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 1 | Calgary Flames |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.11 | 47.4% | 24 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 24 Oct 21:20 |