| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.3% | 75% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 24.5% | 75.4% |
| logistic | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Petros Tsitsipas | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1317 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1317 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Reyniak, Matias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Amit Vales | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Louis Wessels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Alexandre Aubriot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Matteo Gribaldo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Arthur Bellegy | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.15 | 31.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |