OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
🇮🇹 Serie A · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Bologna 1.00 1 - 3 2.60 Inter
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.4%62%-5.7%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 82.2%86%-3.7%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 75.4%81%-5.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.2%60%-3.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson19.6%21.7%58.7%
xgboost19.2%25.1%55.7%
logistic15.6%22.1%62.4%
Inputs the models saw
BolognaInter
Elo (pre-match)16621922
Surface Elo16621922
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.002.60
Form trend-0.600.20
Season points per game0.832.67
Season goals for / game0.833.00
Season goals against / game1.171.33
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Bologna: last 5
11 OctALecce2 - 1W
11 OctALecce2 - 1W
19 SepHTorino1 - 1D
13 SepANapoli0 - 1L
06 SepHSassuolo2 - 2D
Inter: last 5
17 OctHSS Monopoli2 - 4L
13 OctHClub Brugge3 - 4L
13 OctAFC Giugliano 19284 - 0W
10 OctHParma3 - 0W
10 OctHParma3 - 0W
Head to head
23 May 2026Bologna3 - 3Inter
04 Jan 2026Inter3 - 1Bologna
20 Apr 2025Bologna1 - 0Inter
15 Jan 2025Inter2 - 2Bologna
09 Mar 2024Bologna0 - 1Inter
07 Oct 2023Inter2 - 2Bologna
26 Feb 2023Bologna1 - 0Inter
09 Nov 2022Inter6 - 1Bologna
27 Apr 2022Bologna2 - 1Inter
18 Sep 2021Inter6 - 1Bologna
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.5763.7%17 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2draw4.2023.8%17 Oct 17:00
Bet3651X2home5.7517.4%17 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%17 Oct 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3842.0%17 Oct 17:00
SportyBet1X2away1.6062.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.4422.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.9216.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6461.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC