| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.3% | 70% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.8% | 38.1% |
| logistic | 65.2% | 34.8% |
| Jerome Kym | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1797 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1797 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Domenc, Mathys | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | Mika Brunold |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |