| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.7% | 50% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 73.8% | 81% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.9% | 70% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 64% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.3% | 28.8% | 24.9% |
| xgboost | 41.5% | 30.2% | 28.3% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 28.6% | 26.3% |
| Oviedo | Sp Gijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 4 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Sabadell | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Sabadell | 1 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Valladolid | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | H | Burgos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Albacete | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Andorra | 3 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Eldense | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Girona | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Tenerife | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Burgos | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Oviedo | 1 - 1 | Sp Gijon |
| 07 Sep 2024 | Sp Gijon | 3 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Sp Gijon | 1 - 0 | Oviedo |
| 09 Sep 2023 | Oviedo | 0 - 0 | Sp Gijon |
| 13 May 2023 | Sp Gijon | 1 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 17 Dec 2022 | Oviedo | 1 - 0 | Sp Gijon |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Sp Gijon | 0 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 09 Oct 2021 | Oviedo | 1 - 1 | Sp Gijon |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Sp Gijon | 0 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 11 Oct 2020 | Oviedo | 1 - 0 | Sp Gijon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 27 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Sep 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.57 | 63.7% | 27 Sep 20:00 |