| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.6% | 79% | -8.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 12.4% | 87.5% |
| logistic | 33.5% | 66.5% |
| Robin Catry | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1579 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1579 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 3 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Norbert Gombos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Gabriel Gomez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Beibit Zhukayev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Massellani, Simone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matyas Cerny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Simone Massellani | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |