| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 62.8% | 56% | +7.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.9% | 62.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| logistic | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Wilson Leite | Jose Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1385 | 1427 |
| Surface Elo | 1385 | 1427 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Gabriel Roveri Sidney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jun | A | Nick Hardt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Filipe Bullamah | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Jun | A | Thiago Cigarran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Justin Roberts | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Felipe De Dios | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 May | H | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | H | Lautaro Midon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Sep 2023 | Jose Pereira | 2 - 0 | Wilson Leite |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Jose Pereira | 2 - 0 | Wilson Leite |
| 26 Sep 2022 | Jose Pereira | 0 - 2 | Wilson Leite |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.80 | 55.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |