OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Forfar 0.80 1 - 2 1.20 Elgin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.9%51%-4.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.5%82%-7.5%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 59.2%69%-9.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.9%58%+0.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.4%27.9%30.7%
xgboost32.6%28.9%38.5%
logistic32.4%28.9%38.6%
Inputs the models saw
ForfarElgin
Elo (pre-match)13861372
Surface Elo13861372
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.20
Form trend-0.100.00
Season points per game1.221.56
Season goals for / game1.002.78
Season goals against / game1.671.78
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Forfar: last 5
03 OctADumbarton1 - 2L
03 OctADumbarton1 - 2L
29 SepHFormartine United2 - 0W
26 SepHDundee United2 - 1W
22 SepHPeterhead0 - 2L
Elgin: last 5
03 OctHClyde6 - 2W
03 OctHClyde6 - 2W
26 SepAPeterhead1 - 0W
22 SepHDundee3 - 0W
19 SepHStranraer1 - 5L
Head to head
08 Aug 2026Elgin1 - 1Forfar
04 Apr 2026Forfar2 - 1Elgin
24 Mar 2026Elgin2 - 0Forfar
27 Dec 2025Forfar4 - 2Elgin
04 Oct 2025Elgin2 - 1Forfar
08 Mar 2025Elgin0 - 1Forfar
11 Jan 2025Forfar1 - 1Elgin
16 Nov 2024Elgin2 - 1Forfar
31 Aug 2024Forfar1 - 1Elgin
23 Mar 2024Elgin1 - 1Forfar
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.8354.6%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.5028.6%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.3030.3%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7258.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC