| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 62% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 37.1% | 62.8% |
| logistic | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Darja Vidmanova | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1591 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1591 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 17 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Maria Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Janice Tjen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Naomi Osaka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Darja Vidmanova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Reese Brantmeier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Mia Pohankova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Darja Vidmanova | 0 - 2 | Maria Timofeeva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 29 Sep 06:15 |