OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scottish Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Inverness C 1.40 2 - 0 3.00 Stenhousemuir
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.3%27%+20.3%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 73.1%58%+15.3%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 61.3%37%+24.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 58.4%58%+0.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 55.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson18.2%34.1%47.7%
xgboost33.6%35.9%30.5%
logistic41.0%26.8%32.3%
Inputs the models saw
Inverness CStenhousemuir
Elo (pre-match)16021675
Surface Elo16021675
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.403.00
Form trend-0.700.00
Season points per game1.252.75
Season goals for / game1.131.50
Season goals against / game1.130.25
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 4 D
Inverness C: last 5
25 SepHMorton2 - 0W
19 SepALivingston2 - 2D
12 SepAAyr3 - 1W
05 SepHRaith Rvs0 - 2L
29 AugAStenhousemuir1 - 3L
Stenhousemuir: last 5
25 SepAAyr1 - 0W
25 SepAAyr1 - 0W
19 SepHArbroath1 - 0W
19 SepHArbroath1 - 0W
15 SepHPartick1 - 0W
Head to head
29 Aug 2026Stenhousemuir3 - 1Inverness C
11 Apr 2026Stenhousemuir1 - 1Inverness C
21 Feb 2026Inverness C1 - 1Stenhousemuir
20 Dec 2025Stenhousemuir1 - 0Inverness C
16 Aug 2025Inverness C1 - 2Stenhousemuir
19 Apr 2025Stenhousemuir1 - 1Inverness C
11 Mar 2025Inverness C4 - 1Stenhousemuir
21 Dec 2024Stenhousemuir0 - 1Inverness C
28 Sep 2024Inverness C0 - 0Stenhousemuir
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.1024.4%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.7357.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.1047.6%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7058.8%10 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC