| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 60% | -5.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.4% | 85% | -6.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.5% | 78% | -7.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 64% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.4% | 25.1% | 20.5% |
| xgboost | 54.4% | 17.7% | 28.0% |
| logistic | 58.3% | 24.2% | 17.5% |
| Forest Green | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1482 | 1368 |
| Surface Elo | 1482 | 1368 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Rest days | 10 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Sutton | 3 - 3 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Sutton | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Tamworth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Tamworth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Scunthorpe | 1 - 4 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Hartlepool | 2 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Forest Green | 1 - 0 | Hartlepool |
| 05 May 2025 | Hartlepool | 1 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Forest Green | 1 - 0 | Hartlepool |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Forest Green | 1 - 1 | Hartlepool |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Hartlepool | 1 - 3 | Forest Green |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |