| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.1% | 84% | -17.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| logistic | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| Matisse Bobichon | Leonid Sheyngezikht | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1400 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1400 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Giraldi, C | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Viktor Durasovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Iago Dominguez Alvarez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Noah Regas Luis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Kuzey Cekirge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 08 Oct 06:15 |