| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.0% | 35% | +9.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 76% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.9% | 50% | +10.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.1% | 57% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.8% | 23.8% | 28.4% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 32.1% | 29.7% |
| logistic | 44.1% | 28.6% | 27.3% |
| Pau FC | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1437 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1437 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.82 | 0.82 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.64 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Oct | A | Metz | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Metz | 3 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Grenoble | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Grenoble | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Guingamp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Clermont | 1 - 1 | D |
| 30 Oct | H | Clermont | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | St Etienne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Saint-Etienne | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dunkerque | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 2.90 | 34.5% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.65 | 60.6% | 07 Nov 19:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.69 | 59.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |