OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Belgium Pro League · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Westerlo 2.00 1 - 5 2.40 Charleroi
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 41.6%43%-1.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.9%77%-2.3%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 54.8%58%-2.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 71.6%62%+9.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 70.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.6%24.8%34.6%
xgboost32.1%28.7%39.2%
logistic29.5%25.5%45.0%
Inputs the models saw
WesterloCharleroi
Elo (pre-match)15561623
Surface Elo15561623
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.002.40
Form trend0.800.30
Season points per game1.752.25
Season goals for / game3.002.25
Season goals against / game2.251.75
Rest days65
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Westerlo: last 5
31 OctAAnderlecht1 - 4L
31 OctARSC Anderlecht1 - 4L
24 OctHBeveren4 - 4D
24 OctHWaasland-Beveren4 - 4D
16 OctHPatro Eisden Maasmechelen2 - 0W
Charleroi: last 5
01 NovHRAAL La Louviere5 - 2W
01 NovHRAAL La Louviere5 - 2W
31 OctHRSC Habay1 - 0W
25 OctHSl16 Football Campus1 - 0W
24 OctAAntwerp0 - 3L
Head to head
16 May 2026Charleroi0 - 1Westerlo
05 Apr 2026Westerlo2 - 0Charleroi
22 Feb 2026Westerlo2 - 1Charleroi
08 Nov 2025Charleroi2 - 0Westerlo
09 May 2025Charleroi4 - 3Westerlo
11 Apr 2025Westerlo2 - 2Charleroi
22 Feb 2025Westerlo1 - 3Charleroi
09 Nov 2024Charleroi1 - 0Westerlo
01 Mar 2024Westerlo0 - 1Charleroi
25 Nov 2023Charleroi3 - 2Westerlo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.3442.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7326.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.9034.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6261.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC