| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.9% | 62% | -9.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Daniil Ostapenkov | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1523 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1523 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Young, Gavin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Quinn Vandecasteele | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Raphael Perot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |