| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.5% | 85% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 11.1% | 88.9% |
| logistic | 20.6% | 79.4% |
| Oleksii Krutykh | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1485 | 1852 |
| Surface Elo | 1485 | 1852 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Filip Pieczonka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 1 | Oleksii Krutykh |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.18 | 84.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.50 | 22.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |