| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 48% | +7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| logistic | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Matisse Bobichon | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1601 | 1468 |
| Surface Elo | 1601 | 1468 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Yannik Kelm | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Niels McDonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Leo Raquillet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |