| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.5% | 53% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.2% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Kilian Feldbausch | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1642 | 1562 |
| Surface Elo | 1642 | 1562 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Raul Brancaccio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Arthur Bouquier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Leonardo Rossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | David Goffin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | David Goffin | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |