| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.0% | 53% | -12.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 46.8% |
| xgboost | 82.7% | 16.7% |
| logistic | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Detroit Red Wings | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1396 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1396 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Florida Panthers | 1 - 8 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | New Jersey Devils | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 4 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 06 Jan 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 5 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 27 Mar 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | Ottawa Senators |
| 10 Mar 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 08 Jan 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 06 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.03 | 49.3% | 06 Oct 21:20 |