| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.8% | 61% | -6.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Ryan Nijboer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Nico Hipfl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Nicolas Ifi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |