| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 57% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| logistic | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Sandro Kopp | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filippo Romano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Filippo Romano | 2 - 1 | Sandro Kopp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |