| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 75% | -23.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.8% | 66.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.0% | 37.9% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Michael Geerts | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 13 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Niels McDonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Leo Raquillet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Pavel Lagutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Sciahbasi, Matteo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |