OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Blackpool 0.80 1 - 4 1.80 Mansfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 42.8%42%+0.7%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.4%78%-4.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 53.6%57%-3.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.9%59%-2.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson42.0%25.8%32.2%
xgboost32.5%30.0%37.5%
logistic29.3%28.9%41.8%
Inputs the models saw
BlackpoolMansfield
Elo (pre-match)14941547
Surface Elo14941547
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.80
Form trend-0.40-0.40
Season points per game1.101.50
Season goals for / game1.501.60
Season goals against / game1.601.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 1 D
Blackpool: last 5
20 OctHMilton Keynes Dons2 - 0W
20 OctHMilton Keynes Dons2 - 0W
17 OctALeyton Orient0 - 2L
17 OctALeyton Orient0 - 2L
10 OctACambridge0 - 1L
Mansfield: last 5
20 OctAAFC Wimbledon3 - 0W
20 OctAAFC Wimbledon3 - 0W
15 OctHOxford1 - 1D
15 OctHOxford1 - 1D
10 OctHBromley2 - 1W
Head to head
17 Feb 2026Blackpool1 - 0Mansfield
19 Aug 2025Mansfield2 - 0Blackpool
15 Feb 2025Blackpool3 - 3Mansfield
05 Oct 2024Mansfield2 - 0Blackpool
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4540.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.5738.9%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.4041.7%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8035.7%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6959.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC