| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.4% | 79% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 80.2% | 19.7% |
| logistic | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Jurij Rodionov | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1799 | 1657 |
| Surface Elo | 1799 | 1657 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 28 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Daniel Rincon | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |