| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.5% | 79% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 9.5% | 90.5% |
| logistic | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Makoto Ochi | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1407 | 1460 |
| Surface Elo | 1407 | 1460 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 709 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Cruz Hewitt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Kris Van Wyk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Jia Hu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Aug | H | Ye Cong Mo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 May | A | Kaito Uesugi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Scott Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Arjun Mehrotra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Harrison Satara | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Nov | H | Marek Gengel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jan | H | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 07 Oct 06:15 |