OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-06
🎾 ATP Challenger Antofagasta, Chile Men Singles · Tuesday 06 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Samuel Heredia 1.20 0 - 2 1.20 Eduardo Ribeiro
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.5%81%-24.2%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov42.2%57.8%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost39.4%60.5%
logistic49.1%50.9%
Inputs the models saw
Samuel HerediaEduardo Ribeiro
Elo (pre-match)14271466
Surface Elo14271466
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.20
Form trend0.000.90
Season points per game2.001.50
Season goals for / game1.330.75
Season goals against / game1.331.00
Rest days56
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Samuel Heredia: last 5
05 OctAEduardo Ribeiro0 - 2L
30 SepHJoao Eduardo Schiessl0 - 2L
28 SepHJuan Sebastian Osorio2 - 1W
28 SepAJoao Eduardo Schiessl0 - 2L
27 SepHLeonardo Storck Franca2 - 1W
Eduardo Ribeiro: last 5
05 OctHLautaro Midon0 - 2L
05 OctHGustavo Heide2 - 1W
05 OctHSamuel Heredia2 - 0W
30 SepHPedro Sakamoto0 - 2L
28 SepHPedro Sakamoto0 - 2L
Head to head
05 Oct 2026Eduardo Ribeiro2 - 0Samuel Heredia
29 Jun 2026Eduardo Ribeiro0 - 2Samuel Heredia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.2480.7%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.7526.7%06 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC