| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.6% | 70% | -17.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Michael Geerts | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1474 | 1433 |
| Surface Elo | 1474 | 1433 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Vladyslav Orlov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Jay Friend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Robin Bertrand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 May | A | Eero Vasa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Gastao Elias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jun 2022 | Joao Domingues | 0 - 2 | Michael Geerts |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 28 Sep 06:15 |