OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-13
⚽ England Championship · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Bristol City 1.40 0 - 1 1.40 Blackburn
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.9%47%+2.7%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 76.8%76%+1.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 66.5%65%+1.3%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.5%53%+0.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.6%28.9%27.6%
xgboost44.4%29.1%26.5%
logistic51.9%26.8%21.2%
Inputs the models saw
Bristol CityBlackburn
Elo (pre-match)15501519
Surface Elo15501519
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend0.10-0.70
Season points per game1.002.00
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Bristol City: last 5
12 OctHExeter City Reserve3 - 5L
10 OctACharlton1 - 1D
10 OctACharlton1 - 1D
18 SepHWatford1 - 0W
15 SepHLincoln0 - 1L
Blackburn: last 5
12 OctHBolton3 - 3D
10 OctHCardiff2 - 1W
10 OctHCardiff2 - 1W
19 SepAPortsmouth2 - 2D
19 SepAPortsmouth2 - 2D
Head to head
24 Feb 2026Blackburn1 - 2Bristol City
04 Nov 2025Bristol City0 - 1Blackburn
25 Jan 2025Bristol City2 - 1Blackburn
14 Sep 2024Blackburn3 - 0Bristol City
10 Apr 2024Bristol City5 - 0Blackburn
12 Dec 2023Blackburn2 - 1Bristol City
21 Jan 2023Bristol City1 - 1Blackburn
03 Sep 2022Blackburn2 - 3Bristol City
12 Mar 2022Blackburn0 - 1Bristol City
20 Nov 2021Bristol City1 - 1Blackburn
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.5728.0%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4429.1%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1845.9%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%13 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8354.6%13 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:10 UTC