| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.6% | 67% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Clement Tabur | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | Matteo Martineau |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |