| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.1% | 47% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.5% | 79% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.1% | 62% | +0.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 66% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.9% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 24.6% | 36.6% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 27.9% | 24.8% |
| Greuther Furth | Braunschweig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1382 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1382 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 5 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Dresden | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 0 | Braunschweig |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Braunschweig | 3 - 2 | Greuther Furth |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | Braunschweig |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Braunschweig | 2 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| 04 May 2024 | Greuther Furth | 3 - 3 | Braunschweig |
| 02 Dec 2023 | Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 13 May 2023 | Greuther Furth | 2 - 2 | Braunschweig |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 20 Apr 2021 | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | Braunschweig |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Braunschweig | 0 - 3 | Greuther Furth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 17 Oct 12:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |