| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.7% | 70% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 77.2% | 22.8% |
| logistic | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Toby Samuel | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1771 | 1702 |
| Surface Elo | 1771 | 1702 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Tomas Machac | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Remy Bertola | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Jerome Kym | 2 - 1 | Toby Samuel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 01 Oct 06:15 |