| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 39.4% | 43% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.9% | 74% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.2% | 61% | -8.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.0% | 56% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.4% | 28.5% | 31.1% |
| xgboost | 34.5% | 28.9% | 36.6% |
| logistic | 36.5% | 28.8% | 34.7% |
| Espanol | La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1593 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1593 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 30 Oct | A | Villarreal | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Villarreal | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sestao River Club | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Santander | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Santander | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Osasuna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Levante | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Sociedad | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Betis | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Feb 2018 | La Coruna | 0 - 0 | Espanol |
| 24 Sep 2017 | Espanol | 4 - 1 | La Coruna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.88 | 34.7% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 15:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 15:15 |