| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 71% | -17.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| logistic | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| Miguel Tobon | Juan Bautista Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1440 | 1521 |
| Surface Elo | 1440 | 1521 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 22 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Koray Kirci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Miguel Tobon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Chun Hsin Tseng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 1 | Miguel Tobon |
| 11 May 2026 | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 1 | Miguel Tobon |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | Miguel Tobon |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | Miguel Tobon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |