| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.2% | 62% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| logistic | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Jaume Munar | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1813 | 1810 |
| Surface Elo | 1813 | 1810 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Jaime Faria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Holger Rune | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Holger Rune | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct 2026 | Jaume Munar | 2 - 0 | Kyrian Jacquet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |