| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 60.9% | 55% | +6.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| logistic | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Daria Kasatkina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1526 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1526 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 63 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Paula Badosa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Zeynep Sonmez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | H | Elena Rybakina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Maria Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Tereza Valentova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 15 Mar 2021 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 20 Sep 06:16 |