OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-18

NFL · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Indianapolis Colts – 20 - 26 – Tennessee Titans

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	73.6%	76%	-2.8%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	73.6%	26.4%

Inputs the models saw

	Indianapolis Colts	Tennessee Titans
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.30
form diff	0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.24
opponent strength diff	0.08
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-17T17:00:00+00:00

Indianapolis Colts: last 5

11 Oct	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	22 - 34	L
04 Oct	A	Washington Commanders	30 - 13	W
27 Sep	H	Houston Texans	19 - 17	W
21 Sep	A	Kansas City Chiefs	30 - 33	L
13 Sep	H	Baltimore Ravens	23 - 41	L

Tennessee Titans: last 5

11 Oct	H	Houston Texans	3 - 26	L
04 Oct	A	Baltimore Ravens	18 - 24	L
27 Sep	A	New York Giants	7 - 12	L
20 Sep	H	Philadelphia Eagles	20 - 24	L
13 Sep	H	New York Jets	10 - 23	L

Head to head

26 Oct 2025	Indianapolis Colts	38 - 14	Tennessee Titans
21 Sep 2025	Tennessee Titans	20 - 41	Indianapolis Colts
22 Dec 2024	Indianapolis Colts	38 - 30	Tennessee Titans
13 Oct 2024	Tennessee Titans	17 - 20	Indianapolis Colts
03 Dec 2023	Tennessee Titans	28 - 31	Indianapolis Colts
08 Oct 2023	Indianapolis Colts	23 - 16	Tennessee Titans
23 Oct 2022	Tennessee Titans	19 - 10	Indianapolis Colts
02 Oct 2022	Indianapolis Colts	17 - 24	Tennessee Titans
31 Oct 2021	Indianapolis Colts	31 - 34	Tennessee Titans
26 Sep 2021	Tennessee Titans	25 - 16	Indianapolis Colts

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.35	74.1%	18 Oct 16:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	3.49	28.7%	18 Oct 16:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC