| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.6% | 85% | -22.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 14.8% | 85.2% |
| logistic | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| Federico Coria | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 26 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Nicolas Mejia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Lucio Ratti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Miguel Tobon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | Nicolas Mejia |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Mejia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.80 | 20.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |