| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.9% | 48% | +17.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 89.9% | 75% | +14.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 86.0% | 64% | +21.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% | 60% | -12.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 47.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 65.3% | 20.6% | 14.0% |
| xgboost | 69.4% | 20.0% | 10.6% |
| logistic | 67.5% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
| York | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1397 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1397 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Chesterfield | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Chesterfield | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Swindon | 4 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Sep | A | Cheltenham | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Salford | 3 - 3 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Bristol Rvs | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Tranmere | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | York |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |