| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 51% | +4.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.4% | 75% | +4.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.1% | 66% | +5.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 67% | -11.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.7% | 24.1% | 26.2% |
| xgboost | 50.0% | 30.4% | 19.6% |
| logistic | 64.7% | 20.0% | 15.2% |
| Inter | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1917 | 1823 |
| Surface Elo | 1917 | 1823 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.30 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Salernitana | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Feyenoord | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Cosenza | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ac Milan | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ac Milan | 1 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Lens | 9 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Venezia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Venezia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Torino | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Torino | 3 - 1 | W |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Como | 3 - 4 | Inter |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Inter | 4 - 0 | Como |
| 23 May 2025 | Como | 0 - 2 | Inter |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Inter | 2 - 0 | Como |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 08 Nov 17:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 08 Nov 17:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 17:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 08 Nov 17:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.63 | 38.0% | 08 Nov 17:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.36 | 29.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.13 | 24.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.08 | 48.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |