| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.7% | 32% | +15.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 79.0% | 79% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.2% | 43% | +16.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 67% | -6.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.1% | 26.0% | 29.9% |
| xgboost | 36.9% | 25.5% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 17.0% | 15.5% | 67.4% |
| VVV Venlo | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1329 | 1426 |
| Surface Elo | 1329 | 1426 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1991 | 892 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | A | FC Dordrecht | 4 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 4 - 4 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Jong Ajax Amsterdam | 3 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Roda JC Kerkrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Volendam | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | FC Emmen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Volendam | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | NAC Breda | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Heracles | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Vitesse | 4 - 1 | VVV Venlo |
| 27 Jan 2021 | VVV Venlo | 4 - 1 | Vitesse |
| 22 Dec 2019 | Vitesse | 3 - 0 | VVV Venlo |
| 19 Oct 2019 | VVV Venlo | 0 - 4 | Vitesse |
| 15 May 2019 | VVV Venlo | 1 - 3 | Vitesse |
| 15 Dec 2018 | Vitesse | 2 - 1 | VVV Venlo |
| 24 Feb 2018 | VVV Venlo | 2 - 2 | Vitesse |
| 17 Sep 2017 | Vitesse | 1 - 1 | VVV Venlo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |