| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.1% | 80% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Borna Gojo | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1716 | 1493 |
| Surface Elo | 1716 | 1493 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 38 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Harry Wendelken | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Gijs Brouwer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Emile Hudd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | Matteo Martineau |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.65 | 27.4% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 17 Sep 06:15 |