OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Queen of Sth 0.80 4 - 3 0.80 Cove Rangers
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.2%42%+4.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 72.7%84%-11.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.1%56%+5.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 46.8%50%-3.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.0%27.9%34.1%
xgboost41.1%29.1%29.8%
logistic44.0%27.6%28.4%
Inputs the models saw
Queen of SthCove Rangers
Elo (pre-match)14421417
Surface Elo14421417
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.80
Form trend0.300.60
Season points per game0.500.63
Season goals for / game0.750.63
Season goals against / game3.001.38
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Queen of Sth: last 5
19 SepAHamilton1 - 4L
15 SepARoss County0 - 8L
12 SepHEast Fife1 - 1D
05 SepHAirdrie Utd2 - 1W
29 AugAMontrose1 - 2L
Cove Rangers: last 5
26 SepHAberdeen2 - 1W
22 SepAFraserburgh5 - 0W
19 SepHRoss County0 - 2L
19 SepHRoss County0 - 2L
12 SepAMontrose1 - 2L
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Queen of Sth2 - 0Cove Rangers
07 Feb 2026Cove Rangers1 - 1Queen of Sth
06 Dec 2025Queen of Sth1 - 1Cove Rangers
02 Aug 2025Cove Rangers0 - 2Queen of Sth
08 Mar 2025Cove Rangers3 - 1Queen of Sth
04 Jan 2025Queen of Sth1 - 0Cove Rangers
19 Oct 2024Cove Rangers2 - 0Queen of Sth
10 Aug 2024Queen of Sth2 - 1Cove Rangers
27 Apr 2024Queen of Sth2 - 0Cove Rangers
27 Jan 2024Cove Rangers0 - 2Queen of Sth
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.3542.5%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.4540.8%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7557.1%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0548.8%03 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC