| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 74% | -15.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.6% | 30.3% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Sloane Stephens | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.92 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.17 |
| Rest days | 8 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Thea Frodin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Lahey, A | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Kristina Liutova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Kristina Penickova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Lincer, O | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Kaitlyn Carnicella | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Bella Bergkvist Larsson | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |