| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.3% | 99% | -32.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 93.4% | 6.6% |
| logistic | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Max Houkes | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1541 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1541 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Benjamin Lock | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Alec Beckley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Allan Gatoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Darrshan Suresh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 3 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.01 | 99.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |