| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.4% | 90% | -10.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 84.2% | 15.7% |
| logistic | 74.4% | 25.6% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alexander Zverev | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2184 | 1884 |
| Surface Elo | 2184 | 1884 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 18 | 46 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Rohan Murali | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Ben Shelton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Karen Khachanov | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Sep | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Luciano Darderi | 3 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Aug | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | Cameron Norrie |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 1 | Cameron Norrie |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 2 | Cameron Norrie |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 05 Aug 2019 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 25 Feb 2019 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.11 | 90.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.19 | 13.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.10 | 90.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.00 | 14.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.09 | 91.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.45 | 13.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.10 | 90.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.60 | 15.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.14 | 87.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.60 | 13.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alexander Zverev | 1.15 | 87.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Cameron Norrie | 8.20 | 12.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.12 | 89.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.86 | 14.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.10 | 90.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.60 | 15.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.11 | 90.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.70 | 14.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.06 | 94.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.97 | 14.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.09 | 91.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.50 | 13.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.10 | 90.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.65 | 15.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.14 | 87.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.60 | 13.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alexander Zverev | 1.15 | 87.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Cameron Norrie | 8.20 | 12.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.10 | 90.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.60 | 15.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.12 | 89.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.87 | 14.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.03 | 97.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.75 | 14.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.10 | 14.1% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.07 | 93.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.70 | 14.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.04 | 96.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 6.70 | 14.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.09 | 91.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.50 | 13.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.09 | 91.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.50 | 13.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.10 | 90.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.00 | 14.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.11 | 90.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Cameron Norrie | 7.50 | 13.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |